| 1. Identity statement | |
| Reference Type | Conference Abstract (Conference Proceedings) |
| Site | mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br |
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
| Repository | cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/12.06.14.49 |
| Last Update | 2004:12.06.02.00.00 (UTC) administrator |
| Metadata Repository | cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/12.06.14.49.30 |
| Metadata Last Update | 2022:03.26.18.03.24 (UTC) administrator |
| Secondary Key | INPE-11931-PRE/7277 |
| Citation Key | TrenberthMoorKarlNobr:2004:MoPrEa |
| Title | Monitoring and Prediction of the Earth’s climate  |
| Format | CD-ROM, Papel. |
| Year | 2004 |
| Access Date | 2024, May 18 |
| Secondary Type | PRE CI |
| Number of Files | 1 |
| Size | 35353 KiB |
| 2. Context | |
| Author | 1 Trenberth, Kevin E. 2 Moore, Berrien 3 Karl, Thomas R. 4 Nobre, Carlos Afonso |
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 3 4 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGQ7 |
| Group | 1 DMA-INPE-MCT-BR |
| Affiliation | 1 CPTEC-INPE-Cachoeira Paulista-12630-000-SP-Brasil |
| e-Mail Address | atus@cptec.inpe.br |
| Conference Name | International Clivar Science Conference, 1. |
| Conference Location | Baltimore |
| Date | 21-25 |
| Pages | 43 |
| Book Title | Abstracts |
| Tertiary Type | Poster Session |
| History (UTC) | 2005-01-14 15:52:47 :: fabia -> administrator :: 2008-06-10 21:24:01 :: administrator -> estagiario :: 2010-05-11 16:55:31 :: estagiario -> administrator :: 2022-03-26 18:03:24 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2004 |
| 3. Content and structure | |
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
| Content Stage | completed |
| Transferable | 1 |
| Content Type | External Contribution |
| Abstract | The climate is changing and will continue to do so regardless of any mitigation actions. Accordingly, an overview will be given of a much-needed potential Earth Information System. This system embraces a comprehensive observing system to observe and track changes and the forcings of the system as they occur, as well as the ability to relate one to the other and understand changes and their origins, and analyze fields into global products, and includes archival and access to data. Some products will be used to validate and improve models, initialize models and predict future evolution on multiple time scales using ensembles. Modeling and assimilation aspects will be dealt with in ccompanying talks. However, "all models are wrong, but some are useful", and hence it is vital to fully assess past changes and model performance and results in making predictions, and assess impacts regionally on the environment, human activities, and sectors of the economy while working with stakeholders. Such a system will be invaluable. In particular, we expect to see a revolution in the way developing countries use and apply climate information. Observations need to be taken in ways that satisfy the climate monitoring principles and ensure long-term continuity and ability to discern small but persistent signals. The health of the monitoring system must be tracked and resources identified to fix problems. Satellite observations must be calibrated and validated, with orbital decay and drift effects fully dealt with, and adequate overlap to ensure continuity. Reanalysis of the records must be institutionalized along with continual assessment of impacts of new observing and analysis systems. The Earth Science community should embrace the principle that no new observing system is built without adequate planning and consideration for monitoring of the observing system for random and time dependent errors and biases, metadata that fully describes the observing system status and environment in which it operates, the manner in which the data is processed, the means to deliver fundamental data analyses and products, and provisions for the long-term archive of the data with access to the data in well-conceived effective manner. Without this end-to-end process our investments our do not deliver adequate return and our understanding is much less than it would be otherwise. |
| Area | MET |
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção até 2016 > DMA > Monitoring and Prediction... |
| doc Directory Content | access |
| source Directory Content | there are no files |
| agreement Directory Content | there are no files |
| 4. Conditions of access and use | |
| data URL | http://mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br/ibi/cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/12.06.14.49 |
| zipped data URL | http://mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br/zip/cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/12.06.14.49 |
| Language | en |
| Target File | Kevin_Monitoring and prediction.pdf |
| User Group | administrator fabia |
| Visibility | shown |
| Copy Holder | SID/SCD |
| 5. Allied materials | |
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46JKC45 |
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.42.59 1 |
| Host Collection | cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2003/04.25.17.12 |
| 6. Notes | |
| Empty Fields | archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination documentstage doi edition editor electronicmailaddress identifier isbn issn keywords label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes numberofvolumes orcid organization parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project publisher publisheraddress readergroup readpermission rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark serieseditor session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark type url versiontype volume |
| 7. Description control | |
| e-Mail (login) | marciana |
| update | |